Behavioral Heterogeneity and Excessive Volatility of RMB Exchange Rate

نویسندگان

چکیده

The paper develops a two-type behavioral heterogeneous agent model including fundamentalists and chartists. It examines whether investors’ heterogeneity is related to the excessive volatility of RMB exchange rate. We use deviation real rate from fundamental as measure volatility. value calculated by revised with cointegration technology. After estimating using monthly data October 2006 November 2020, we find that traders in price trading strategies can significantly explain excess Our analysis two significant fluctuations 2015-2016 2018-2019 further corroborates our key finding plays an important role explaining

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Exchange rate volatility and its effect on stock market volatility

This paper investigates empirically the effect of volatility of the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar vis-à-vis the euro on U.S. stock market volatility while controlling for a number of drivers of stock return volatility. Using a GARCH(1, 1) model and using weekly data covering the period from the week of January 1, 1999 through the week of January 25, 2010, it is found that the 9/11 terrorist ...

متن کامل

Modelling exchange rate volatility

Two types of statistical models are empirically applied to test the pattern of volatility in the exchange rate markets. One considers the autoregressive models and tests the random walk hypothesis. The other considers the conditional variance process and tests the hypothesis of chaotic dynamics. Empirical results mostly support the random walk hypothesis and also the existence of Lorenz-type ch...

متن کامل

Chartism and Exchange Rate Volatility

The purpose of this paper is to implement theoretically, the observation that the relative importance of fundamental versus technical analysis in the foreign exchange market depends on the time horizon in currency trade. For shorter time horizons, more weight is placed on technical analysis, while more weight is placed on fundamental analysis for longer horizons. The theoretical framework is th...

متن کامل

Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Exchange Rate Volatility, and Exchange Rate Disconnect

This paper explores the hypothesis that high volatility of real and nominal exchange rates may be due to the fact that local currency pricing eliminates the pass-through from changes in exchange rates to consumer prices. Exchange rates may be highly volatile because in a sense they have little effect on macroeconomic variables. The paper shows the ingredients necessary to construct such an expl...

متن کامل

Impact of Terrorism, Political System and Exchange Rate Fluctuations on Stock Market Volatility

Terrorism, political system instability and currency rate fluctuations are the three most evident issues of 21st century. In this study, comparative analysis is performed to check the impact of all these issues on PSX Volatility. EGARCH (1,1) approach is used on four different kinds of data collected from 1st January 2000 to 31st December 2015. Terrorist events, FX return fluctuations with rest...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2210-8505', '2210-8491']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.54560/jracr.v12i3.333